The Heisman Trophy race is heating up, and with the 2026 college football season just around the corner, experts are already making their predictions. Phil Steele's list of top-10 favorites is a fascinating insight into the upcoming season, and it's dominated by quarterbacks, which is no surprise given the position's prominence in the sport. But let's dive deeper into this list and explore the narratives that make each player a contender.
The Quarterbacks' Reign
It's no secret that the Heisman Trophy has been a quarterback's award in recent years. The position's impact on the game is undeniable, and Steele's list reflects this reality. Arch Manning, the son of NFL legend Peyton Manning, tops the list, and for good reason. His late-season surge in 2025 showcased his potential, and with Texas aiming for a playoff spot, the stage is set for a memorable campaign. Personally, I think the Manning name carries a certain weight, and Arch has the talent to live up to it.
Dante Moore, the Oregon Ducks' star, is another intriguing prospect. His decision to stay in college despite NFL Draft potential shows a commitment to the program and a desire to leave a lasting impact. With a strong supporting cast, Moore could be the one to watch. What makes this particularly fascinating is the potential for a new Heisman winner to emerge from a program that hasn't seen one in years.
Rising Stars and Fresh Faces
CJ Carr, the young quarterback from Notre Dame, is a rising star. His freshman year was impressive, and with the guidance of coach Marcus Freeman, he could take the Irish to new heights. ESPN's Todd McShay's praise speaks volumes about Carr's potential, and I believe he could be a dark horse in this race.
Trinidad Chambliss, the Ole Miss quarterback, is a player I'm particularly excited about. His journey from a lower-ranked program to leading a College Football Playoff team is remarkable. ESPN's Jordan Rodgers' comments highlight his talent, and I think Chambliss has the skills to make a serious run for the Heisman.
Established Contenders and Transfer Talents
Ohio State's Julian Sayin and Jeremiah Smith are a dynamic duo. Sayin's accuracy and leadership have already made an impact, and Smith's receiving prowess is undeniable. While receivers are often overlooked for the Heisman, Smith's talent might just change that narrative.
Darian Mensah, the Miami transfer from Duke, is a player to keep an eye on. His stats speak for themselves, and with the praise from coach Mario Cristobal, he could be a key player in Miami's success.
Filling Big Shoes and Coaching Changes
Josh Hoover has a tough act to follow at Indiana, but his work ethic and connection with star receiver Charlie Becker could be a recipe for success. Replacing a Heisman winner is never easy, but Hoover's experience might just give him the edge.
Sam Leavitt, the first starting quarterback of the Lane Kiffin era at LSU, has a unique challenge. His mobility and creativity, as noted by ESPN's Greg McElroy, could be a game-changer. However, the pressure of being a transfer quarterback in a new system is not to be underestimated.
Underdogs and Hidden Gems
Utah's Devon Dampier is a player who might fly under the radar, but his dual-threat abilities and success in his first season as a starter cannot be ignored. The coaching changes at Utah could impact his performance, but I believe Dampier has the talent to overcome these challenges.
In my opinion, this list is a testament to the depth of talent in college football. While the quarterbacks dominate, each player brings a unique story and skill set to the table. The Heisman Trophy race is not just about individual performance; it's about narratives, team success, and the intangibles that make college football so captivating. As the season unfolds, these players will write their own stories, and I can't wait to see who emerges as the Heisman favorite.